A widely shared graphic on South African social media claims that 99.5% of migrants targeted during recent anti-migrant demonstrations in Durban are legally in the country and allowed to live and work there, and attributes the statement to Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi.
But there is no evidence that Motsoaledi made this claim, and the statistic is being taken out of context.
Why this is misleading
First, misattribution: The Department of Health confirmed the post is fake, stating the quote was “fabricated and falsely attributed” to the minister. Motsoaledi did not make this statement.
Second, missing context: The “99.5%” figure appears to come from a single verification exercise involving around 460 foreign nationals in Durban.
In that specific group, only two people were found without valid documentation, producing the 99.5% figure. However, this applies only to that one group on one day, not to all migrants in Durban or South Africa.
Why context matters
Removing the context of the verification operation turns a limited snapshot into a general claim about an entire population. That is misleading because the group tested is not representative of all migrants in Durban, the phrase “targeted migrants” is vague and undefined, and no broader data exists to support city-wide or national conclusions.
What the data actually shows
While the operation does suggest high compliance within that specific group, experts caution that there is no reliable way to generalise this to all migrants in Durban or South Africa.
Estimates of undocumented migration are inherently difficult to verify, and official statistics often do not capture legal status accurately.